TOVRConcepts

Bid recommendation

The recommended bid combines two things — a cost-derived viability floor from the cost engine, and the lane's market percentiles from APEX. It is the canonical way TOVR suggests a price, and it never recommends below the floor.

The bid recommendation is the price TOVR suggests a carrier bid for a chain. It is the canonical answer to "what should I charge for this?" — and it is grounded in two independent sources: a cost-derived floor (from the cost engine) and the lane's market (from APEX). This page owns that definition; other surfaces that mention a "suggested bid" defer to it.

The two inputs

  1. The viability floor. The cost engine computes what the chain costs to run for this specific vehicle and carrier. The floor is that cost plus the carrier's minimum margin:

    min_viable_eur = chain_cost × (1 + min_margin_pct / 100)

    min_margin_pct defaults to 8% and is a per-carrier setting — the minimum margin on Settings › Costs & margins. Below the floor, the carrier loses money or misses its margin target — so the recommendation never goes there.

  2. The market position. APEX returns the lane's price distribution as percentiles — p25, median, and p75 in euros per kilometre — with a confidence score. These describe where real freight on this corridor actually clears.

How they combine

The recommendation positions the floor against the market:

  • Competitive entry — aim near the lane's p25 (a keen, win-likely price)…
  • …floored at viability — but never below min_viable_eur. If p25 is below the floor, the recommendation is the floor.
  • …capped toward the median — the upper reference for a normal bid is the market median, so the carrier does not leave money on the table on a strong lane.
  • Above-market flag — if even the viability floor exceeds the lane's p75, the chain is flagged above market: the carrier cannot serve this lane profitably at prevailing prices. That is a signal to skip the load, not to bid high and lose.

The result is attached to the chain as a market position plus a recommended figure, so the dispatcher (or fOS) sees both the number and why it sits where it does.

The floor is a floor, not a ceiling

A carrier sells freight capacity. The recommendation's cost-derived number is a walk-away floor — the least the carrier should accept — not a target to bid down toward. When negotiating, the carrier moves down toward the floor from a higher ask, never below it. fOS enforces this in live negotiation and never reveals the floor to the counterparty (see fOS › Guardrails).

A note on "quick" market figures

Elsewhere in the system you may see a fast, market-only figure computed directly as p25 × distance — a rough market-anchored number with no cost floor applied. That figure is a convenience for quick market context only. It is not the authoritative bid: it can sit below a carrier's real cost. The recommended bid on this page — floor first, market second — is the number to act on.

Where the pieces live

On this page